Superligaen · Matchweek 20
Nordsjælland
NOR
Sønderjyske
SND
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nordsjælland61%
Draw21%
Sønderjyske18%
Expected goals
2.12 – 1.12
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.4%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–08.9%
- 3–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession49%
40%Territory40%
22%From set plays35%
0.14Chance quality0.09
5.2%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nordsjælland, 3 for Sønderjyske. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nordsjælland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.