Superligaen · Matchweek 20
FC Midtjylland
FCM
Viborg
VIB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Midtjylland41%
Draw27%
Viborg32%
Expected goals
1.51 – 1.31
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–27.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession51%
41%Territory41%
26%From set plays17%
0.12Chance quality0.09
8.2%Directness5.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Midtjylland, 3 for Viborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.