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Superligaen · Matchweek 20

FC Midtjylland

FCM

Viborg

VIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Midtjylland44%
Draw27%
Viborg29%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.19

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.2%
  • 1010.6%
  • 219.1%
  • 018.1%
  • 007.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Midtjylland get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession51%
40%Territory46%
50%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.11
9.5%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Midtjylland, 3 for Viborg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.