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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 20

FC København

FCK

Randers FC

RAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC København56%
Draw24%
Randers FC20%

Expected goals

1.84 – 1.04

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–010.9%
  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 2–09.4%
  • 0–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC København will have the ball; Randers FC will not mind.

48%Possession39%
32%Territory40%
22%From set plays21%
0.13Chance quality0.13
6.7%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC København, 3 for Randers FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.