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Superligaen · Matchweek 20

OB

OB

AGF

AGF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OB38%
Draw28%
AGF34%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.27

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 1–010.2%
  • 0–19.5%
  • 0–08.5%
  • 2–18.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AGF will have the ball; OB will not mind.

41%Possession52%
35%Territory38%
27%From set plays18%
0.08Chance quality0.11
6.0%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OB, 3 for AGF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.