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Superligaen · Matchweek 20

OB

OB

AGF

AGF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OB42%
Draw25%
AGF33%

Expected goals

1.66 – 1.45

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.0%
  • 218.8%
  • 107.9%
  • 127.6%
  • 016.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

OB get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

57%Possession57%
44%Territory42%
29%From set plays14%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness3.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OB, 4 for AGF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.