Superligaen · Matchweek 19
AC Horsens
ACH
FC Midtjylland
FCM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AC Horsens40%
Draw25%
FC Midtjylland36%
Expected goals
1.67 – 1.58
Over 2.5
62%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–28.0%
- 1–07.0%
- 2–26.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AC Horsens get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession50%
45%Territory41%
44%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AC Horsens, 3 for FC Midtjylland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.