Superligaen · Matchweek 19
AC Horsens
ACH
FC Midtjylland
FCM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AC Horsens37%
Draw27%
FC Midtjylland36%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.42
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–08.6%
- 0–18.4%
- 2–18.3%
- 1–28.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
53%Possession48%
34%Territory40%
51%From set plays50%
0.10Chance quality0.12
5.2%Directness9.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AC Horsens, 4 for FC Midtjylland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AC Horsens
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.