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Superligaen · Matchweek 19

AGF

AGF

FC København

FCK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AGF25%
Draw28%
FC København47%

Expected goals

1.04 – 1.48

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

51%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 0–112.3%
  • 1–29.2%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 0–28.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC København will have the ball; AGF will not mind.

52%Possession61%
38%Territory45%
18%From set plays25%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.2%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AGF, 3 for FC København. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.