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Superligaen · Matchweek 19

AGF

AGF

FC København

FCK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AGF30%
Draw25%
FC København45%

Expected goals

1.34 – 1.68

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.2%
  • 129.2%
  • 018.7%
  • 217.1%
  • 106.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AGF will have the ball; FC København will not mind.

57%Possession48%
42%Territory32%
14%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.13
3.5%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for AGF, 4 for FC København.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.