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Superligaen · Matchweek 19

Viborg

VIB

Silkeborg

SIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Viborg55%
Draw26%
Silkeborg19%

Expected goals

1.61 – 0.86

Over 2.5

44%

Both to score

47%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.1%
  • 1–111.7%
  • 2–010.6%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 0–09.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

51%Possession46%
41%Territory33%
17%From set plays23%
0.09Chance quality0.07
5.8%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viborg, 3 for Silkeborg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.