Superligaen · Matchweek 19
Brøndby IF
BRN
Nordsjælland
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brøndby IF50%
Draw23%
Nordsjælland27%
Expected goals
2.03 – 1.48
Over 2.5
67%
Both to score
68%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.2%
- 2–19.2%
- 2–26.8%
- 1–06.6%
- 1–26.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession55%
44%Territory40%
28%From set plays22%
0.20Chance quality0.14
4.8%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brøndby IF, 3 for Nordsjælland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.