Skip to content
Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 19

Randers FC

RAN

Sønderjyske

SND

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Randers FC50%
Draw25%
Sønderjyske24%

Expected goals

1.71 – 1.15

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 2–08.1%
  • 0–16.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

39%Possession41%
40%Territory35%
21%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.08
7.3%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Randers FC, 3 for Sønderjyske. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.