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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 19

Randers FC

RAN

Sønderjyske

SND

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Randers FC49%
Draw24%
Sønderjyske27%

Expected goals

1.85 – 1.35

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.4%
  • 2–19.4%
  • 1–08.1%
  • 2–06.9%
  • 1–26.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Randers FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

43%Possession49%
37%Territory40%
63%From set plays35%
0.16Chance quality0.09
6.1%Directness5.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Randers FC, 3 for Sønderjyske. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.