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Superligaen · Matchweek 18

Nordsjælland

NOR

AC Horsens

ACH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Nordsjælland48%
Draw25%
AC Horsens26%

Expected goals

1.71 – 1.24

Over 2.5

55%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.3%
  • 109.5%
  • 219.5%
  • 207.4%
  • 016.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AC Horsens get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession53%
31%Territory34%
9%From set plays51%
0.14Chance quality0.10
4.3%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Nordsjælland, 3 for AC Horsens. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Nordsjælland

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.