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Superligaen · Matchweek 18

Silkeborg

SIL

Randers FC

RAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Silkeborg39%
Draw28%
Randers FC33%

Expected goals

1.37 – 1.24

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

54%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.6%
  • 1010.4%
  • 019.3%
  • 008.5%
  • 218.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

45%Possession39%
36%Territory40%
22%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.13
4.6%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Silkeborg, 3 for Randers FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.