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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 18

Silkeborg

SIL

Randers FC

RAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Silkeborg36%
Draw27%
Randers FC37%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.41

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.1%
  • 0–19.0%
  • 1–08.8%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Randers FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

46%Possession43%
33%Territory37%
23%From set plays63%
0.07Chance quality0.16
3.9%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Silkeborg, 3 for Randers FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 77 matches, not the full season.