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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 18

FC Midtjylland

FCM

OB

OB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Midtjylland52%
Draw25%
OB23%

Expected goals

1.76 – 1.12

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.2%
  • 1–010.4%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 0–06.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Midtjylland will have the ball; OB will not mind.

50%Possession41%
41%Territory35%
26%From set plays27%
0.12Chance quality0.08
8.2%Directness6.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Midtjylland, 3 for OB. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.