Superligaen · Matchweek 18
FC København
FCK
Viborg
VIB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC København49%
Draw26%
Viborg25%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.12
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–011.0%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.2%
- 0–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
48%Possession51%
32%Territory46%
22%From set plays23%
0.13Chance quality0.11
6.7%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC København, 3 for Viborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC København
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.