Skip to content

Superligaen · Matchweek 18

Sønderjyske

SND

AGF

AGF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sønderjyske35%
Draw26%
AGF39%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.56

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.3%
  • 128.5%
  • 218.0%
  • 017.9%
  • 107.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AGF will have the ball; Sønderjyske will not mind.

41%Possession57%
35%Territory42%
28%From set plays14%
0.08Chance quality0.10
7.7%Directness3.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sønderjyske, 4 for AGF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.