Superligaen · Matchweek 18
Sønderjyske
SND
AGF
AGF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sønderjyske41%
Draw26%
AGF33%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.36
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sønderjyske get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
54%Possession52%
45%Territory37%
43%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.12
4.9%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sønderjyske, 4 for AGF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.