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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 17

AC Horsens

ACH

FC København

FCK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AC Horsens28%
Draw26%
FC København46%

Expected goals

1.25 – 1.63

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 0–19.6%
  • 1–29.3%
  • 1–07.1%
  • 0–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

53%Possession59%
45%Territory45%
44%From set plays31%
0.13Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness5.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AC Horsens, 2 for FC København. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 77 matches, not the full season.