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Superligaen · Matchweek 17

AGF

AGF

Randers FC

RAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AGF42%
Draw27%
Randers FC31%

Expected goals

1.51 – 1.27

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.1%
  • 109.8%
  • 218.9%
  • 018.1%
  • 127.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AGF will have the ball; Randers FC will not mind.

57%Possession39%
42%Territory40%
14%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.13
3.5%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for AGF, 3 for Randers FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.