Superligaen · Matchweek 17
AGF
AGF
Randers FC
RAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AGF45%
Draw25%
Randers FC30%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.38
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.3%
- 1–27.2%
- 0–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AGF will have the ball; Randers FC will not mind.
52%Possession43%
37%Territory37%
24%From set plays63%
0.12Chance quality0.16
4.4%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for AGF, 3 for Randers FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.