Superligaen · Matchweek 17
Viborg
VIB
Sønderjyske
SND
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Viborg52%
Draw25%
Sønderjyske23%
Expected goals
1.73 – 1.12
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.7%
- 2–08.4%
- 0–06.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Sønderjyske get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
51%Possession54%
41%Territory45%
17%From set plays43%
0.09Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viborg, 3 for Sønderjyske. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.