Superligaen · Matchweek 17
Brøndby IF
BRN
OB
OB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brøndby IF45%
Draw25%
OB30%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.37
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–27.2%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
61%Possession57%
50%Territory44%
18%From set plays29%
0.08Chance quality0.12
5.4%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brøndby IF, 3 for OB. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.