Superligaen · Matchweek 17
FC Midtjylland
FCM
Silkeborg
SIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Midtjylland56%
Draw24%
Silkeborg20%
Expected goals
1.78 – 0.99
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–011.7%
- 1–111.0%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.8%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
50%Possession46%
41%Territory33%
26%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.07
8.2%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Midtjylland, 3 for Silkeborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 77 matches, not the full season.