Superligaen · Matchweek 16
Silkeborg
SIL
AGF
AGF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Silkeborg33%
Draw29%
AGF37%
Expected goals
1.18 – 1.26
Over 2.5
44%
Both to score
51%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.1%
- 0–111.2%
- 1–010.4%
- 0–010.0%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
46%Possession52%
33%Territory37%
23%From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.12
3.9%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Silkeborg, 4 for AGF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Silkeborg
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.