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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 16

Randers FC

RAN

AC Horsens

ACH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Randers FC38%
Draw28%
AC Horsens34%

Expected goals

1.38 – 1.28

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–010.0%
  • 0–19.2%
  • 2–18.4%
  • 0–08.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AC Horsens will have the ball; Randers FC will not mind.

39%Possession53%
40%Territory34%
21%From set plays51%
0.13Chance quality0.10
7.3%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Randers FC, 3 for AC Horsens. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.