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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 16

FC København

FCK

FC Midtjylland

FCM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC København48%
Draw25%
FC Midtjylland27%

Expected goals

1.75 – 1.27

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.0%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–09.0%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 1–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Midtjylland get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

48%Possession48%
32%Territory40%
22%From set plays50%
0.13Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness9.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC København, 4 for FC Midtjylland.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.