Club Football Intelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 16

Fri, 27 Nov, 18:00 UTC

Sønderjyske

SND

18:00 UTC

Brøndby IF

BRN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sønderjyske28%

Draw23%

Brøndby IF49%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.93

Over 2.5

64%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.50

Most likely scorelines

1–19.8%
1–29.2%
0–17.1%
2–26.7%
2–16.7%

How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sønderjyske get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

54%Possession51%

45%Territory44%

43%From set plays28%

0.10Chance quality0.20

4.9%Directness4.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sønderjyske, 3 for Brøndby IF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Sønderjyske

Mathias OlesenMF0G 3A 1.10/90
Osaze De RosarioFW1G 1A 0.72/90
Stefan VelkovDF1G 0A 0.40/90

Brøndby IF

Mads Frøkjær-JensenMF3G 0A 1.51/90
Max EjdumMF0G 1A 0.52/90
Marcus YounisFW0G 1A 0.50/90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.