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Superligaen · Matchweek 16

OB

OB

Nordsjælland

NOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OB30%
Draw26%
Nordsjælland44%

Expected goals

1.30 – 1.60

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.6%
  • 0–19.3%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 1–07.4%
  • 2–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nordsjælland will have the ball; OB will not mind.

41%Possession55%
35%Territory40%
27%From set plays22%
0.08Chance quality0.14
6.0%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OB, 3 for Nordsjælland. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.