Superligaen · Matchweek 15
AC Horsens
ACH
Silkeborg
SIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AC Horsens52%
Draw25%
Silkeborg22%
Expected goals
1.72 – 1.07
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 1–011.1%
- 2–19.8%
- 2–08.8%
- 0–07.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AC Horsens get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession46%
45%Territory33%
44%From set plays23%
0.13Chance quality0.07
5.0%Directness3.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AC Horsens, 3 for Silkeborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.