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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 15

AC Horsens

ACH

Silkeborg

SIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AC Horsens48%
Draw26%
Silkeborg25%

Expected goals

1.63 – 1.14

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–010.7%
  • 2–19.5%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AC Horsens will have the ball; Silkeborg will not mind.

53%Possession45%
34%Territory36%
51%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.2%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AC Horsens, 3 for Silkeborg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.