Superligaen · Matchweek 15
Nordsjælland
NOR
FC København
FCK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Nordsjælland35%
Draw27%
FC København38%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.48
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–18.6%
- 1–28.4%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
55%Possession63%
40%Territory46%
22%From set plays26%
0.14Chance quality0.10
5.2%Directness4.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Nordsjælland, 3 for FC København. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nordsjælland
FC København
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 78 matches, not the full season.