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Superligaen · Matchweek 15

Nordsjælland

NOR

FC København

FCK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Nordsjælland38%
Draw26%
FC København36%

Expected goals

1.54 – 1.49

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

62%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.3%
  • 218.4%
  • 128.1%
  • 107.8%
  • 017.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

51%Possession48%
31%Territory32%
9%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.13
4.3%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for Nordsjælland, 4 for FC København.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Nordsjælland

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.