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Superligaen · Matchweek 15

Viborg

VIB

Randers FC

RAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Viborg52%
Draw24%
Randers FC24%

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.20

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.8%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 1–09.5%
  • 2–08.0%
  • 1–26.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Randers FC get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession43%
41%Territory37%
17%From set plays63%
0.09Chance quality0.16
5.8%Directness6.1%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viborg, 3 for Randers FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.