Superligaen · Matchweek 15
Brøndby IF
BRN
FC Midtjylland
FCM
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brøndby IF54%
Draw22%
FC Midtjylland24%
Expected goals
2.07 – 1.36
Over 2.5
65%
Both to score
66%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.5%
- 1–19.3%
- 1–07.2%
- 2–06.9%
- 2–26.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
51%Possession50%
44%Territory41%
28%From set plays26%
0.20Chance quality0.12
4.8%Directness8.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brøndby IF, 3 for FC Midtjylland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
FC Midtjylland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.