Superligaen · Matchweek 14
AGF
AGF
AC Horsens
ACH
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AGF42%
Draw26%
AC Horsens32%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.39
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–27.6%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AC Horsens get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
52%Possession53%
38%Territory45%
18%From set plays44%
0.11Chance quality0.13
4.2%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AGF, 3 for AC Horsens. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 77 matches, not the full season.