Skip to content

Superligaen · Matchweek 14

AGF

AGF

AC Horsens

ACH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AGF39%
Draw27%
AC Horsens34%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.39

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.8%
  • 108.8%
  • 218.6%
  • 018.1%
  • 127.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AC Horsens get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

57%Possession53%
42%Territory34%
14%From set plays51%
0.10Chance quality0.10
3.5%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for AGF, 3 for AC Horsens. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.