Superligaen · Matchweek 14
FC Midtjylland
FCM
Sønderjyske
SND
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Midtjylland61%
Draw21%
Sønderjyske18%
Expected goals
2.10 – 1.09
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.9%
- 1–19.5%
- 1–09.3%
- 2–09.1%
- 3–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
FC Midtjylland get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
48%Possession41%
40%Territory35%
50%From set plays28%
0.12Chance quality0.08
9.5%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC Midtjylland, 3 for Sønderjyske. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.