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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 14

FC Midtjylland

FCM

Sønderjyske

SND

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC Midtjylland52%
Draw23%
Sønderjyske24%

Expected goals

1.93 – 1.29

Over 2.5

61%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.2%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 2–07.3%
  • 2–26.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Sønderjyske get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

50%Possession54%
41%Territory45%
26%From set plays43%
0.12Chance quality0.10
8.2%Directness4.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for FC Midtjylland, 3 for Sønderjyske. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 77 matches, not the full season.