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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 14

Randers FC

RAN

Nordsjælland

NOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Randers FC33%
Draw24%
Nordsjælland43%

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.85

Over 2.5

65%

Both to score

68%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.8%
  • 1–28.7%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 0–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nordsjælland will have the ball; Randers FC will not mind.

43%Possession55%
37%Territory40%
63%From set plays22%
0.16Chance quality0.14
6.1%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Randers FC, 3 for Nordsjælland. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 15 of 77 matches, not the full season.