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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 14

FC København

FCK

Brøndby IF

BRN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC København58%
Draw23%
Brøndby IF20%

Expected goals

1.98 – 1.11

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.1%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.7%
  • 2–08.9%
  • 3–16.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Brøndby IF will have the ball; FC København will not mind.

48%Possession61%
32%Territory50%
22%From set plays18%
0.13Chance quality0.08
6.7%Directness5.4%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC København, 3 for Brøndby IF. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.