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Superligaen · Matchweek 14

OB

OB

Viborg

VIB

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OB34%
Draw27%
Viborg39%

Expected goals

1.35 – 1.44

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.1%
  • 019.2%
  • 108.6%
  • 128.5%
  • 217.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

57%Possession51%
44%Territory46%
29%From set plays23%
0.12Chance quality0.11
5.0%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OB, 3 for Viborg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.