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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 13

Viborg

VIB

AC Horsens

ACH

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Viborg45%
Draw28%
AC Horsens28%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.13

Over 2.5

48%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.4%
  • 1–011.3%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–08.4%
  • 0–18.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AC Horsens get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession53%
46%Territory34%
23%From set plays51%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.6%Directness5.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viborg, 3 for AC Horsens. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.