Superligaen · Matchweek 13
Brøndby IF
BRN
AGF
AGF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Brøndby IF43%
Draw26%
AGF31%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.36
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–08.7%
- 1–27.4%
- 0–17.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
61%Possession57%
50%Territory42%
18%From set plays14%
0.08Chance quality0.10
5.4%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Brøndby IF, 4 for AGF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AGF
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.