Superligaen · Matchweek 13
Sønderjyske
SND
FC København
FCK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sønderjyske23%
Draw24%
FC København53%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.90
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.4%
- 1–29.8%
- 0–19.0%
- 0–27.9%
- 1–36.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession48%
35%Territory32%
28%From set plays22%
0.08Chance quality0.13
7.7%Directness6.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sønderjyske, 4 for FC København. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.