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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 12

AC Horsens

ACH

Sønderjyske

SND

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AC Horsens55%
Draw24%
Sønderjyske22%

Expected goals

1.88 – 1.14

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

58%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.6%
  • 2–19.9%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 3–16.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AC Horsens will have the ball; Sønderjyske will not mind.

53%Possession41%
34%Territory35%
51%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.08
5.2%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AC Horsens, 3 for Sønderjyske. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.