Superligaen · Matchweek 12
Silkeborg
SIL
Nordsjælland
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Silkeborg32%
Draw26%
Nordsjælland42%
Expected goals
1.32 – 1.55
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–19.2%
- 1–28.9%
- 1–07.8%
- 2–17.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
45%Possession51%
36%Territory31%
22%From set plays9%
0.10Chance quality0.14
4.6%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Silkeborg, 4 for Nordsjælland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nordsjælland
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.