Superligaen · Matchweek 12
AGF
AGF
Viborg
VIB
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AGF35%
Draw28%
Viborg37%
Expected goals
1.34 – 1.36
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 0–19.5%
- 1–09.3%
- 1–28.2%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
57%Possession51%
42%Territory46%
14%From set plays23%
0.10Chance quality0.11
3.5%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for AGF, 3 for Viborg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AGF
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.