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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 11

AC Horsens

ACH

Randers FC

RAN

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AC Horsens45%
Draw27%
Randers FC28%

Expected goals

1.53 – 1.15

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

55%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.2%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 2–19.2%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AC Horsens will have the ball; Randers FC will not mind.

53%Possession39%
34%Territory40%
51%From set plays21%
0.10Chance quality0.13
5.2%Directness7.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AC Horsens, 3 for Randers FC. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.