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Superligaen · Matchweek 11

Viborg

VIB

FC Midtjylland

FCM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Viborg40%
Draw28%
FC Midtjylland32%

Expected goals

1.42 – 1.27

Over 2.5

49%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.4%
  • 1010.0%
  • 018.8%
  • 218.6%
  • 007.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

FC Midtjylland get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.

51%Possession48%
46%Territory40%
23%From set plays50%
0.11Chance quality0.12
4.6%Directness9.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viborg, 4 for FC Midtjylland. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.