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Superligaen · Matchweek 11

FC København

FCK

AGF

AGF

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FC København58%
Draw22%
AGF20%

Expected goals

2.00 – 1.13

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

-0.75

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.0%
  • 219.9%
  • 109.3%
  • 208.7%
  • 316.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AGF will have the ball; FC København will not mind.

48%Possession57%
32%Territory42%
22%From set plays14%
0.13Chance quality0.10
6.7%Directness3.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for FC København, 4 for AGF.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.