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Superligaen · Matchweek 11

Sønderjyske

SND

Silkeborg

SIL

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Sønderjyske38%
Draw27%
Silkeborg36%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.41

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.9%
  • 108.6%
  • 218.4%
  • 018.3%
  • 128.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

41%Possession45%
35%Territory36%
28%From set plays22%
0.08Chance quality0.10
7.7%Directness4.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sønderjyske, 3 for Silkeborg. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.