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Superligaen · Matchweek 10

AGF

AGF

Sønderjyske

SND

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

AGF52%
Draw24%
Sønderjyske24%

Expected goals

1.86 – 1.25

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.5%
  • 219.7%
  • 108.9%
  • 207.6%
  • 126.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

AGF will have the ball; Sønderjyske will not mind.

57%Possession41%
42%Territory35%
14%From set plays28%
0.10Chance quality0.08
3.5%Directness7.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 4 for AGF, 3 for Sønderjyske. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.