Superligaen · Matchweek 9
AC Horsens
ACH
AGF
AGF
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
AC Horsens46%
Draw26%
AGF28%
Expected goals
1.66 – 1.26
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.2%
- 0–17.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
AC Horsens get an unusual share of their chances from set plays.
53%Possession57%
34%Territory42%
51%From set plays14%
0.10Chance quality0.10
5.2%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for AC Horsens, 4 for AGF. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
AC Horsens
AGF
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.