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Superligaen · Matchweek 9

Viborg

VIB

Nordsjælland

NOR

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Viborg40%
Draw27%
Nordsjælland32%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.28

Over 2.5

50%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 109.8%
  • 218.7%
  • 018.6%
  • 007.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.

51%Possession51%
46%Territory31%
23%From set plays9%
0.11Chance quality0.14
4.6%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Viborg, 4 for Nordsjælland. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Nordsjælland

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.