Superligaen · Matchweek 9
Sønderjyske
SND
Randers FC
RAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Sønderjyske35%
Draw27%
Randers FC38%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.43
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 0–19.1%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–28.4%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
41%Possession39%
35%Territory40%
28%From set plays21%
0.08Chance quality0.13
7.7%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Sønderjyske, 3 for Randers FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.