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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Superligaen · Matchweek 9

OB

OB

FC Midtjylland

FCM

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OB33%
Draw25%
FC Midtjylland42%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.64

Over 2.5

58%

Both to score

63%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.1%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 0–18.0%
  • 2–17.6%
  • 1–06.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

OB will have the ball; FC Midtjylland will not mind.

57%Possession48%
44%Territory40%
29%From set plays50%
0.12Chance quality0.12
5.0%Directness9.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for OB, 4 for FC Midtjylland. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 16 of 48 matches, not the full season.