Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 27
Supra du Québec
SUP
Inter Toronto FC
INT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Supra du Québec43%
Draw25%
Inter Toronto FC32%
Expected goals
1.70 – 1.47
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
64%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 2–18.9%
- 1–07.7%
- 1–27.5%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession47%
39%Territory38%
7.4%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Supra du Québec, 4 for Inter Toronto FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.