Canadian Premier League · Matchweek 26
Supra du Québec
SUP
Vancouver FC
VAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Supra du Québec36%
Draw28%
Vancouver FC36%
Expected goals
1.37 – 1.36
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–09.3%
- 0–19.2%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Nothing in the numbers separates these two by much — which is itself worth knowing, and more common than most previews admit.
52%Possession46%
39%Territory33%
7.4%Directness7.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 3 for Supra du Québec, 3 for Vancouver FC. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 11 of 85 matches, not the full season.